538 - Trump creeps above 30% in the nowcast
He is now shown to have a slight lead (a tenth of a point) in Florida and North Carolina, as well as a 1.8 point lead in Ohio. The Poll-Plus forecast shows that all three of those states are now expected to go to Trump.
The GOP also has a one in three chance of controlling the Senate.
This polls may show a certain amount of support (and non-support) at a moment in time, but the trend is that Hillary is slipping.
ReplyDeleteWe may be in for another nail-biter of an election in a week.
The trend is that Hillary got another scandal hit. Let trump open his mouth again or molest a new victim while Hillary has a clean week and the bump will vanish.
ReplyDeleteAnd with less than a week to go, how will that happen? Hillary's scandals probably and likely hit "critical mass" levels which would explain a 13 point shift towards Trump in a week's time.
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