Slate's Delegate Calculator

Slate's Delegate Calculator

This is a very handy tool to let you see how the Democratic nomination shapes up. You will learn the following:

• Neither candidate can win the nomination on pledged delegates alone, even if one of them receives 100% of the remaining votes. If Obama gets 100% of the remaining delegates, he'll still be about 50 short of the 2025 necessary to win. If Hillary gets 100% of the remaining delegates, she'll be about 180 shy. (I have qualified it with "about" because last night's delegate split is still an approximation.)
  
• Obama will go to the convention with more pledged delegates than Hillary. Even if Hillary wins every single remaining primary 60-40, she'll still be behind by a slim margin. (And that ain't gonna happen anyway, but even if it does ...)
  

Therefore, the nomination will be decided at the convention, by the superdelegates, and Obama will go to the convention with the lead in pledged delegates. If he loses the remaining primaries by an average of 52-48, he'll have about a 100 delegate edge. If they split 50-50, his edge will be about 150. If Hillary beats him 55-45, he'll still be ahead by about 60.