There have been five more national polls since the Pew poll which shocked the Obama camp. Every single one of them shows the candidates within one point. It just doesn't get any closer than that.
RCP's poll of polls shows Romney up .7 while 538's weighted poll average shows Obama up by 1.1.
The electoral college prediction has not turned yet, but is turning:
Intrade, where you can actually wager real money, gives Romney a 39% chance, up from 21% in late September.
538 has raised Romney's odds to 34% from 13% before the debate.
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Polls 2012: Romney vs. Obama
Polls 2012: Romney vs. Obama. The popular vote is a dead heat.
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