I'm not sure what's wrong with the national networks, but Huckabee is mathematically eliminated. McCain is winning by 5% with 72% counted. Simple artihmetic shows that Huckleberry would have to win the remaining precincts by 12% to carry the state, and he obviously has no prayer of doing that because the largest source of unreported votes is Myrtle Beach, where Huckleberry is no factor.Why did McCain win?
- McCain did better in Huckleberry territory than vice-versa. Huck beat McCain 40-27 among evangelicals, but Huckabee got only fourteen percent of other voters. In that group Huckabee finished fourth, and had to overcome a 24 point deficit to McCain!
- Huckabee might well have won the state if Fred Thompson had withdrawn. Huckleberry and Balloo not only compete for the most conservative voters, but also for the all-important cartoon animal vote.
Saturday, January 19, 2008
McCain wins South Carolina
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