Tuesday, October 21, 2008

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right

Just a note to show it ain't over til it's over. "The trend over the past 7-10 days remains slightly toward McCain." Sunday's Rasmussen polls show McCain ahead in both Ohio and Florida, although with leads within the margin of error. If he wins both of those states, it will be a very close election. (But note that the 538 model says Obama is a 60-40 favorite even if he loses those two states.)

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