Monday, September 27, 2004
Latest Electoral Vote Predictor - Bush 280. Kerry 234. In this week's changes. Kerry got good news only in Florida and New Jersey. The President received positive shifts in eight states, and gained in all-important California: (1) Florida from neutral to barely Kerry (2) New Mexico and Oregon from strong Kerry to barely Bush. (That strong Kerry result in New Mexico seems to have been a fluke) (3) Iowa from barely Kerry to barely Bush (4) Minnesota from barely Kerry to undecided (5) Arkansas from undecided to barely Bush (6) Maine from barely Kerry to barely Bush (7) New Hampshire from barely Kerry to undecided (8) New Jersey from barely Bush to barely Kerry (9) Not a change, but California went from strong Kerry to weak Kerry. Kerry's sixteen point lead in California dropped to five points. California is for all the marbles, so that trend could spell disaster for Kerry, assuming it is real.
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