Friday, December 17, 2004

Major global climate change may be happening - as a result of cyclical activity, not human behavior.
  • A team of scientists is finding numerous links between our time and a mysteriously similar period 5200 years ago.
  • This is interesting, but frankly I find it hard to believe "scientists" who mess up simple data. This glaciologist says, "“Something happened back at this time and it was monumental,” Thompson said. “But it didn’t seem monumental to humans then because there were only approximately 250 million people occupying the planet, compared to the 6.4 billion we now have." I guess a glaciology degree doesn't have a math requirement. The human population of the planet in 3200 BC is estimated to be about 14 million, not 250 million. Not bad, though, he's only off by 94%. When I read stuff like this, I always assume that his other conclusions are similarly accurate.
  • Obviously, his theories have not been peer-reviewed. His 250 million population estimate is off by about three thousand years (pretty close, again!). Several studies have estimated the world population at the time of Christ. Here are nine sources summarized, and all the estimates range from 170 million to 400 million.
  • So if his global climate change data is within the same mathematical error tolerance level as his population stats, we should be able to look forward to another three thousand worry-free years. Unfortunately, some of his warnings probably should be heeded, but whose going to listen to a guy who doesn't bother to look up simple facts?

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