Republicans Have One-in-Four Chance to Claim Senate Majority, Model Shows - NYTimes.com

Bloodbath analysis: Republicans Have One-in-Four Chance to Claim Senate Majority, Model Shows

There's a lot of time between now and the election night, but at this moment the most likely outcome is 52-48 Democratic.

As of today: 37 seats are being contested, 18 GOP, 19 Dem.

• Seven races are too close to call (within the margin of error.) This includes Feingold, Boxer and Reid.
  
• 22 lean Elephant Red
  
• Eight lean Donkey Blue.
  

Not a single Republican senator is an underdog. No one is in a close race with the Dems. One Republican seat, however, could possibly become indy. (Florida; Rubio)

Five dems seem certain to lose and six others are locked in tight races.