In a way, the exit polls gave us a peek at America's future.
61% of the voters in the Democratic primary were black people, and 87% of them voted for Hillary. If you're good at quick math, you've already realized this ominous fact: If every single white Democrat in the state of South Carolina had voted for Bernie, he still would have lost.
As it turns out, Sanders didn't even win the white vote, although he did win among white men.
Sanders again won the voters under 30, but it was close this time. CNN's exit polls do not separate the data under "race by age," so we don't know how the candidates did with black voters under 30. It's a shame they don't have those numbers, because it's a real match up of strength vs strength (Bernie's appeal to young voters, vs Hillary's appeal to black voters). Based upon the available numbers, I have made the following assumptions: (a) if Bernie got 80% of the white voters under 30, as has been typical for him; and (b) if white voters under 30 represented 35% of the under-30 voters in South Carolina; then (c) Bernie got only about 40% of non-whites under 30 in order to produce his actual total of 54% of all voters under 30.
In other words, Bernie's magical appeal to white youth doesn't cross over by race.
Saturday, February 27, 2016
Hillary Clinton wins big in South Carolina on the black vote alone
Hillary Clinton wins big in South Carolina on the black vote alone
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